Does Lewis Hamilton deserve to be leading the WDC standings?
I shall put my fanaticism of Lewis aside on this and (try to) answer without bias.
Well, there's a couple of ways you can answer that:
- Realistically, and
- Theoretically.
Realistically:
No.
Simply because he isn't leading the championship. He may have suffered more reliability problems than his team mate, but, that's part-and-parcel of motorsport. These things happen.
It's too easy to say "coulda, shoulda, woulda". The fact of the matter is that Lewis is not leading the WDC and there's nothing more to it.
And Nico Rosberg hasn't exactly made many mistakes, and has capitalized each time Lewis has had reliability problems, and even when he had those string of four consecutive wins, Nico was right there in 2nd place each time.
Theoretically: (This is pure speculation)
How many points would Lewis currently have, had he not suffered mechanical failures? (Decision making errors do not count as they are within the drivers' control).
Well, the Mercedes pace advantage is so substantial that barring extreme circumstances (as we have seen in Hungary), they're almost always going to go home with a 1-2.
Australia: (18-25pts)
- Lewis qualified on Pole, and it stands to reason that he'd have, at a minimum, come home in second place.
Monte Carlo: (18pts)
- Nico's mistake in qualifying prevented Lewis from completing his final Q3 lap for Pole position. Would he have gotten it? No one can know because it didn't happen.
- Lewis got dirt in his eye during the closing stages, but I don't think he'd have had the pace to overtake Rosberg regardless.
- Race result stays the same.
Canada: (25pts)
- Lewis had the race pace to beat Nico here, and even overtook him during the first round of pit stops.
- Both cars suffer Rear brake problems, and ended Hamilton's race, but, Nico drove around the problem.
- Commentators and pundits said that Nico deserved to finish higher because he was able to drive around the problem, however, I don't believe this to be the case as Lewis's problem was far more sudden and severe. He came out of the pits ahead of Nico, and then his rear brakes failed completely. He had no time to drive around the problem.
- I believe that had both Nico and Lewis not had rear-brake issues, Lewis would have won this race.
Austria: (18pts)
- Lewis makes a mistake at the penultimate corner on his best lap in Q3, and has his time erased. Would've had pole by 3 tenths, but it was a driver error, so doesn't apply here.
- Lewis then spun at Turn 2 through no fault of his own. Yet the team say there was no apparent failure on the car. Neither driver nor car were at fault.
- In clear air during the race, the Mercedes were brutally quick. If it weren't for the Williams holding them up, Nico would've breezed to victory much earlier.
- However, Hamilton's pace wasn't enough to catch Nico in the closing stages.
- Second place.
Great Britain: (25pts)
- Lewis get's into second place in the first few laps after starting 6th (4th on the restart), and steadily catches Nico towards the end of his first stint.
- Lewis opts for the alternate strategy as Nico and takes the Prime tyre for his second stint. This tyre proves to be the better race tyre and Lewis starts to catch Nico at .6-.8 tenths per lap.
- Had Nico's gearbox not given up on him, I still believe Lewis had the pace to overtake him, since his pace advantage was so great. And he would've been on the faster tyre at the end of the race as well.
Hockenheim: (18-25pts)
- Brake failure in qualifying meant he was eliminated after Q2 as his time was still good enough.
- Would have started from the front row.
- Pace was good enough to beat Nico had he started from the front row. However, Nico was coasting for most of the race.
- Possibly could have won the race had he not had a brake failure in qualifying.
- Minimum 18pts.
Hungaroring: (15-18pts)
- Oil leak induced fire eliminated him from Q1.
- Was fastest through all three practice sessions, so it stands to reason he would've put it on pole.
- Would he have gotten the benefit of the safety car had he been streets ahead as Rosberg was? Probably not. Because it benefited those who we're further back (as he was in reality).
- Riccardo's strategy and track position for the safety was absolutely perfect. So long as that safety car came out, Ricciardo would have won the race regardless.
- Maximum for Hamilton: 18pts.
So, after all that theoretical-ness, the championship standing so far would look something like this:
Lewis Hamilton:
Maximum:
254pts
Minimum:
212pts.
Would that be enough to place him on top in the World Driver's Championship?
Yes.
But, it's completely hypothetical, so all in all, this has been a waste of time. lol,
Let's just hope he can regain the lead and run away with it so that Abu Double doesn't end up deciding the Championship